A tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico could bring "very heavy" rain to Louisiana and the Gulf Coast later this week, forecasters said Monday.
The system has a 60% chance of developing into at least a tropical depression within five days, according to the 7 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center.
UPDATE: A tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico this week is looking more likely; see latest forecast
Regardless of development, the system has the potential to bring "very heavy" rainfall and flooding later this week and into the weekend for the Gulf Coast, forecasters with the National Weather Service in Slidell said. Now is a good time to review your hurricane plans, they said.
The Gulf system is one of three disturbances forecasters were tracking Monday. One off the East Coast is expected to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm on Monday.
The chances of development for a tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico just increased to 70% over the next five days, according to the Na…
Update: Tropical depression forms in Atlantic off North Carolina coast
If strengthens into a tropical storm, it will be named Bill.
Here’s what we know from the National Hurricane Center about the tropics as of 7 a.m. Monday.
Disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico
image via National Hurricane Center
A tropical depression could form this week in the Gulf of Mexico, forecasters said.
As of 7 a.m., they were tracking a low pressure system over the Bay of Campeche. Gradual development of the disturbance is possible during the next couple of days as it meanders near the coast of Mexico, forecasters said.
It could develop into a tropical depression in a few days while it moves north in the Gulf of Mexico, forecasters said.
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The shaded area on the graphic is where a storm could develop and is not a track. The National Hurricane Center releases a track when a tropical depression forms or is about to form.
The categories, in order of increasing strength, are tropical depression, tropical storm and hurricane (categories 1 through 5). Systems are named when they develop into a tropical storm.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Central American and southern Mexico during the next several days.
Tropical depression or storm likely in Atlantic
image via National Hurricane Center
A low pressure system off the East Coast has acquired more tropical characteristics overnight, forecasters said.
It has a 70% chance, which is considered high, of developing into at least a tropical depression within five days.
Update: Tropical depression forms in Atlantic
As of 7 a.m., the well-defined system was about 90 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and forecasters said a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later Monday.
It is one of three systems the National Hurricane Center is tracking.
The system is expected to move northeast away from the U.S. and move into colder waters south of Nova Scotia on Wednesday. The cold water will end any opportunity for further development, forecasters said.
Disturbance off Africa's west coast
image via National Hurricane Center
Forecasters are tracking a strong tropical wave just off Africa's west coast. It's producing disorganized showers and thunderstorm activity as of 7 a.m.
Some development is possible during the next few days before environmental conditions are expected to change, limiting any chance of formation while the disturbance is over the central Atlantic later this week.
It has a 20% chance, which is considered low, of developing into at least a tropical depression within five days.
Next available storm name is Bill
The next available name of the season is Bill, followed by Claudette, Danny and Elsa.
Subtropical Storm Ana formed May 22 in the Atlantic, and eventually became a tropical storm.
Last year, there were so many storms that forecasters ran out of names and had to use the Greek alphabet. It's only the second time in recorded history that the Greek names had been used.
Last year's hurricane season broke several records, including having the most named storms ever on record.
Things have changed for this season. If needed, forecasters will use a list of supplemental storm names instead of the Greek names. See the full list.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
Don't miss a storm update this hurricane season. Sign up for breaking newsletters. Follow our Hurricane Center Facebook page.
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