If there is one thing that is almost always guaranteed in an economic downturn, it’s an increase in litigation.
Businesses are going to sue businesses. Tenants are going to sue landlords, who will sue their tenants right back. Insurance companies will contest claims, and start-ups will try to defend their intellectual property from more established companies.
Yet in this recession, one industry that was just getting started during the 2008 downturn has come into its own and is attracting wealthy investors looking for outsize returns.
Meet litigation finance, an esoteric, high-risk investment strategy that lures with the siren song of double-digit returns. It’s an industry with a few publicly traded behemoths, but it remains the preserve of private-equity-style funds that invest in cases, back law firms and act as financial intermediaries when settlements have been reached.
And the pandemic could be its time to emerge from its little-known niche. Some of this will come from coronavirus-related suits, like business interruption claims and lawsuits against landlords who do not fulfill their obligations to safeguard their buildings.
But a larger amount could come from litigation that arises when there is less economic opportunity and businesses begin fighting for what is left. Most of the litigation finance funds are set up to step in when one side is running low on money to continue a claim that could bring a substantial win.
“We have the wind to our backs in this unusual environment,” said Howard Shams, the chief executive of Parabellum Capital and an early practitioner in the industry.
The market can deliver returns of 30 percent or more. The type of claims and the law firms that seek financing vary. But so, too, does the investor base, which includes wealthy individuals and families, as well as college endowments and sovereign wealth funds.
Litigation finance is not about encouraging more legal battles, fund managers and investors say, but about supporting businesses and law firms that lack the resources held by the larger corporations they are often battling.
Bill Parizek, a partner at Pentwater Advisors, a business consulting firm, said he had one-third of his net worth in LexShares, which just raised its second litigation finance fund but also invests in one-off cases.
“At its core, it’s a level-the-playing-field type of thing,” Mr. Parizek, 59, said. “They’re backing the weaker spouse, as it were, in litigation.”
Since 2016, he and his brother, John Parizek, have made 49 investments at an average of $13,000 each. He said he had calculated that even if they lost 25 percent of the cases and recovered nothing, they would still have solid returns.
With 32 cases outstanding, he said, only four cases have lost money, while the other 13 have paid returns. They were up 30 percent last year.
The two titans in the industry are Omni Bridgeway and Burford Capital. But the industry is really a smattering of funds and what are known as fundless sponsors, or groups that find cases and then raise the money to invest in them.
LexShares got its start as a fundless sponsor in 2014. Bigger firms are primarily backed by pension funds and sovereign wealth funds, but LexShares counts many individuals as investors. They all have to be accredited investors, which means they have more than $1 million in investable assets or an annual salary greater than $200,000. It is raising a second fund, at $100 million, only two years after its first $25 million fund.
“We’re coming back because these deals fill up so quickly, so it’s hard to create a diversified pool of these investments,” said Jay Greenberg, chief executive of LexShares. The fund has a 70 percent victory rate, he said, but only 43 of 103 cases have been resolved.
As in other fund structures, the litigation funds are paid a management fee and then take a hefty cut of the settlement, depending on the success of the case. With litigants, the funds negotiate their return up front. In some cases, it’s a percentage of the settlement; in others, it’s a multiple of the money they invest depending on how long it takes for the case to settle. If it takes three years, for example, they might ask to be paid back three times their money.
In all cases, the investment is nonrecourse financing, meaning if the company or lawyers lose the case, they don’t owe the investors anything. This aspect is appealing because law firms and companies can minimize some of their risk while still having access to working capital. It’s also why investors need to ensure that they spread their money across many cases.
“There isn’t any case I’d put more than $25,000 in,” Mr. Parizek said. “There are some I liked and thought it would be great to put in $250,000 and win big, but you never know.”
Peter Suarez, who runs a marketing and lead generation company in San Diego, began investing in single cases, building a diversified portfolio. But, he said, as more investors began seeking high-quality cases, he turned to funds.
“It was already getting more difficult to invest individually,” he said. “I didn’t want to lose out on the opportunities.”
Of the 47 cases he has invested in since 2015, Mr. Suarez said, his return was 38 percent. But he is paring back his investment in litigation finance.
“I’ve only had five losses, but when you lose, you lose everything,” he said.
His other complaint is that there is no way to roll these investments into something longer term. The case pays its returns, and the investor is left with that money to reinvest. There is not the same cash flow he gets from, say, real estate investing.
Another approach is to invest in a law firm’s portfolio of cases. A firm may have a half-dozen business litigation cases that it has taken on contingency. That means it is covering the costs during litigation with the expectation that it will be paid back more when the case is settled. But because it is not billing by the hour, the law firm is putting its own money at risk.
In a situation like this, the law firm may approach a litigation finance fund to offset some of its risk in return for a share of what it expects to recover, said Ralph J. Sutton, founder of Validity Finance and another early entrant into the field.
These cases are likely to be large because a firm like Validity wants the expected settlement to be five times what it is giving the law firm. The purpose is to give the law firm more flexibility, he said.
Since March, he has seen an increase in law firms reaching out for this type of funding. He attributes this to companies not being as willing or able to pay high legal fees, as well as to law firms being worried about their liquidity in a recession.
All the litigation firms I spoke with reported rising interest in their services. But that carries its own risk of investors becoming lax with their underwriting. Not surprisingly, the key to achieving high returns and a high win-loss record comes in the selection process, which, if anything, needs to get more rigorous.
Interest in the United States is up three times over last year, and in the rest of the world, it is double what it was a year ago, said Andrew Saker, chief executive of Omni Bridgeway, which has offices in 10 countries.
“The uptick is greater in the U.S. because the impact of Covid-19 was greater in the U.S.,” he said. The U.S. litigation market is also the largest in the world and is roughly double the next-largest market, Britain.
Therium Capital Management funds only 3 percent to 5 percent of the cases it reviews in regular times, said Eric H. Blinderman, the chief executive. But with increased volume, it will be more selective and fund fewer now.
He added that the firm needed to believe there was at least a 70 percent chance that the case would succeed, that the case would resolve in a set amount of time and that the losing party would be able to pay the judgment.
“To survive, you need discipline,” Mr. Blinderman said. “You cannot take a flier. We’re not funding on coin tosses. We’re not funding on maybes.”
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