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Ida to bring rain, surge and tornado threat to Alabama - AL.com

Ida strengthened to a hurricane on Friday as it made two landfalls in Cuba and headed for the Gulf of Mexico.

Ida made landfall on Cuba’s Isle of Youth on Friday afternoon with 75 mph winds. A second landfall came Friday evening, and Ida had 80 mph winds then, the National Hurricane Center said.

Ida is expected to become a powerful hurricane and make landfall on Sunday on the central Louisiana coast. It could have winds up to 140 mph by that point.

As of 7 p.m CDT Friday, Hurricane Ida was located about 90 miles southwest of Havana, Cuba, and was moving northwest at 15 mph.

Ida’s winds were holding at 80 mph in the latest update. That makes Ida a Category 1 hurricane. More strengthening is anticipated until Ida reaches the Gulf Coast.

Alabama’s coastal areas are not in the cone of uncertainty as of Friday but are under a tropical storm and storm surge watch and could experience dangerous conditions from Ida.

Hurricane and tropical storm warnings were issued for areas to the west of Alabama.

The hurricane center on Friday said some models are showing that Ida’s wind field will expand as it nears the Gulf Coast, which means more of the coast could have to deal with strong winds.

The National Hurricane Center said 2 to 4 feet of storm surge will be possible along Alabama’s coast as well as Mobile Bay. That’s a decrease from the 3 to 5 feet expected earlier today.

Peak surge forecast

Ida could bring a substantial storm surge to the Gulf Coast. Alabama's coastal areas could see 2 to 4 feet of surge, and a storm surge watch is in effect.

Coastal areas could also experience tropical storm force winds (39 mph and higher) and heavy rain.

The National Weather Service in Mobile said Ida is likely to bring rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher amounts along the central Gulf Coast Sunday into Monday, which is raising concerns about flash flooding.

South Alabama rain potential

Parts of southwest Alabama could get up to 8 inches of rain from Ida.

Waves from Ida will begin reaching portions of the northern Gulf coast Saturday afternoon or evening, the weather service said. “These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf, wave run up and dangerous rip currents.”

A high risk of rip currents will be in effect along the coast from now through at least Monday night, according to forecasters.

Rip current forecast

A high risk of rip currents will be in effect through at least Monday night along Alabama's coast.

Tornadoes will also be possible on Sunday into Monday as Ida’s rain bands move onshore.

Ida Alabama tornado threat

Parts of southwest Alabama could see a few tornadoes from Ida starting on Saturday.

Parts of central and north Alabama could also face a risk for rain and tornadoes, but the confidence level is not as high, according to forecasters.

The National Weather Service in Birmingham said there was still a lot of uncertainty about exactly what central Alabama can expect from Ida as it moves inland to the west of the state.

Depending on the track the western half of the state could face the threat for tornadoes, heavy rain and gusty winds.

The best chances for tornadoes will be Monday and Tuesday, especially for areas west of Interstate 65.

Parts of the state could get 6 to 7 inches of rain from Sunday through Wednesday morning, again with areas west of I-65 having the best chances for higher totals.

Winds could also be gusty, up to 40 mph, from Sunday night through Tuesday night, forecasters said.

Ida or its remnants will also lift northward through parts of north Alabama.

The National Weather Service in Huntsville said heavy rain will be possible for north Alabama Monday through Wednesday, with areas in northwest Alabama having the best chances.

Forecasters said flash flooding will be possible.

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